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In March, Eurozone inflation is projected to slow to 2.2%, down from 2.3% in February, with core inflation also decreasing to 2.4%. This trend supports expectations of continued interest rate cuts by the ECB to stimulate economic recovery, despite rising inflation in Italy. The euro weakened against major currencies, with EUR/USD dipping below 1.08, indicating potential further declines if support levels are breached.
Eurozone inflation has decreased to 2.2% in March, prompting some economists to anticipate further cuts to key interest rates by the ECB at its April 17 meeting. The central bank aims for a medium-term inflation target of 2% and has already reduced rates six times since summer 2024. Currently, the deposit interest rate stands at 2.5%, with Germany also reporting a 2.2% inflation rate.
A recent survey by Danske Bank reveals that one in four people in Finland have no savings, with 32% of women and 24% of men reporting no funds in savings accounts. Over half of respondents can manage without income for up to three months, highlighting the impact of the cost of living crisis on financial stability. The bank advises aiming for savings equivalent to at least four months of expenses, a goal met by only 35% of those surveyed.
Coca-Cola shares reached a record high of $73, buoyed by strong Q4 2024 results with a 6% sales increase to $11.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.55. Despite a forecasted 5-6% organic sales growth for 2025, currency effects and portfolio adjustments may limit further gains, with analysts targeting an average of $75.63.
Thomas Gitzel, chief economist at VP Bank, anticipates an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) in April, citing March's inflation data as a catalyst for monetary easing. He predicts a 25 basis point reduction, influenced by the economic impact of punitive tariffs from the Trump administration, which could further weaken the European economy and dampen inflation. Gitzel also suggests that another rate cut may occur at the ECB's June meeting.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained its cash rate at 4.1%, prioritizing the return of inflation to its 2-3% target amid economic uncertainties. Concerns over a tight labor market and potential global trade conflicts could impact inflation and economic stability. Analysts anticipate a possible rate adjustment in May, depending on labor market developments.
Tariff uncertainty is raising concerns about the potential for stagflation, according to Barclays. The interplay of fluctuating tariffs and economic conditions could lead to stagnant growth coupled with rising inflation, posing significant risks to the economy.
Tariffs on auto imports, particularly from Canada and Mexico, are expected to significantly impact the U.S. economy, potentially leading to stagflation due to simultaneous supply shocks. With inflation projected to rise and growth remaining barely positive, uncertainty in trade policies is causing businesses to hesitate, which could stall economic activity. Consumer sentiment has declined sharply, raising concerns about a potential recession as savings rates may increase, leading to reduced consumption.
Gold prices for Antam, UBS, and Galeri24 have fluctuated as of April 1, with Antam gold remaining at IDR 1,852,000 per gram. UBS gold increased to IDR 1,820,000, while Galeri24 rose to IDR 1,798,000. Various weights for each brand are available, with prices ranging significantly based on the quantity purchased.
Treasuries are adopting a cautious outlook amid macroeconomic concerns, influenced by survey evidence and the Trump administration's tone. As the market approaches April 2, the bond market's response to tariffs remains uncertain, with potential for yields to test lower due to rising recession risks. A key floor for front-end rates is identified at around 3.5%, while a greater recession risk could push yields even lower.
Inflation and Monetary Impact
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eurozone inflation slows as euro weakens against major currencies
15:00 01.04.2025
euro inflation rate drops to 2.2 percent prompting potential interest rate cuts
12:56 01.04.2025
one in four finlanders lack savings amid rising cost of living
12:40 01.04.2025
Coca Cola shares near record high amid strong earnings and market resilience
11:55 01.04.2025
ECB likely to cut interest rates in April amid economic concerns
11:39 01.04.2025
RBA holds cash rate steady amid economic uncertainties and inflation concerns
10:49 01.04.2025
tariff uncertainty raises concerns over potential stagflation risks
05:22 01.04.2025
tariffs and supply shocks raise stagflation concerns for us economy
04:58 01.04.2025
gold prices fluctuate for antam ubs and galeri24 products on april first
02:43 01.04.2025
Treasuries poised for volatility amid recession fears and tariff uncertainties
02:00 01.04.2025
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